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The Dozen Play-In Predictions

The Play-In tournament starts TONIGHT as the Ice Dawgs (-2.5) take on the Red Team (+115), so today I will be making my picks and analyzing the hypothetical upcoming matches.


Ice Dawgs vs Red Team


Stats to know:

Ice Dawgs hit Big 4 sports at a 64% clip vs only 36% for Red Team

Red Team is one of the worst bonus round teams, only winning 25% of the time, while Ice Dawgs are closer to league average, winning 50% of the time

Red Teams best category: College Football (75%)

Ice Dawgs best category: NHL (80%)


My prediction model ran 50 simulations of this match; here were the results:

Ice Dawgs wins: 28

Red Team wins: 22

Average Score:

Ice Dawgs: 12.4

Red Team: 11.0


My prediction: Ice Dawgs win 13-10 and move on to play Grinders, leading scorer: Big T with 8


Ice Dawgs vs Grinders

Hypothetical line: Grinders -5.5


Stats to know:

Grinders are a top 5 sports team (83%) while Ice Dawgs are bottom 5 (64%)

Grinders are also top 5 in pop culture (89%) while Ice Dawgs are bottom 5 (61%)

Grinders best category: Movies and Music (100%)

Ice Dawgs best category: NHL (80%)


My prediction model ran 50 simulations of this match; here were the results:

Grinders wins: 34

Ice Dawgs wins: 16

Average Score

Grinders: 14.8

Ice Dawgs: 11.2


My prediction: Grinders win 15-8 and move on to play Ryders


Ryders vs Grinders

Hypothetical line: Ryders -2.5


Stats to know:

Both teams are top 5 in pop culture, but Ryders take the edge

Ryders are the worst Big 4 sports team in the league (36%), while The Grinders are top 5 (72%)

These are two of the best mashup teams in the league, as Kelly Keegs and Jake Malasek rarely miss

Grinders best categories: Movies and Music (100%)

Ryders best categories: Music and Mashup (100%)


My prediction model ran 50 simulations of this match; here were the results:

The Ryders wins: 31

Grinders wins: 19

Average Score:

The Ryders: 14.3

Grinders: 12.4


My prediction: Grinders win in OT 14-14 (15-14)


Plenty more matchups to talk about going forward as we get into the playoffs, where we hope to see multiple all-time classics! Stay Tuned!



 
 
 

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